March Madness Bracket Probability

If you were to flip a coin for every matchup in the NCAA tournament, your odds of filling out a perfect bracket are 1 in 9.2 quintillion (9,223,372,036,854,775,808 to be exact). That number probably doesn’t mean anything to you. So we’ve done our best to put that number into perspective, below. Long story short, if you fill out a perfect bracket, you should change your profession to “The Great Oracle.”

The odds of filling out a perfect March Madness bracket are 1 in 9.2 quintillion, which is still less likely then:

MarchMadnessProb-Blog-01 MarchMadnessProb-Blog-02 MarchMadnessProb-Blog-03 MarchMadnessProb-Blog-04 MarchMadnessProb-Blog-05

Needless to say, filling out a perfect bracket isn’t going to be any easy feat. It’s a challenge so difficult that Warren Buffett planned to give away $1 billion in 2014 to any person who could correctly select all 63 games. No one could. So as you embark on this year’s bracket-making, may the odds never be in your favor.


Data Sources: Business Insider & Time Magazine







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